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Table 5 Characteristics of the prediction of mortality by the qSOFA and Rockall preendoscopic scores

From: Quick SOFA vs Rockall preendoscopy scores for risk assessment in patients with nonvariceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding: a retrospective cohort study

Score

Se, %, (95% CI)

Sp, %, (95% CI)

+LR (95% CI)

−LR (95% CI)

+PV, %, (95% CI)

−PV, %, (95% CI)

Youden’s index

qSOFA score

 ≥ 0

100.0 (87.7–100.0)

0.0 (0.0–1.9)

1.0 (1.0–1.0)

12.8 (8.7–18.0)

0.000

 ≥ 1a

82.1 (63.1–93.9)

73.7 (66.8–79.8)

3.1 (2.3–4.2)

0.2 (0.1–0.5)

31.5 (21.1–43.4)

96.6 (92.1–98.9)

0.558

 ≥ 2

57.1 (37.2–75.5)

93.7 (89.2–96.7)

9.1 (4.8–17.1)

0.5 (0.3–0.7)

57.1 (37.2–75.5

93.7 (89.2–96.7)

0.508

 3

28.6 (13.2–48.7)

99.5 (97.1–100.0)

54.3 (7.1–417.8)

0.7 (0.6–0.9)

88.9 (51.8–99.7)

90.4 (85.6–94.1)

0.281

Rockall preendoscopic score

 ≥ 0

100.0 (87.7–100.0)

0.0 (0.0–1.9)

1.0 (1.0–1.0)

12.8 (8.7–18.0)

0.000

 ≥ 1

100.0 (87.7–100.0)

23.7 (17.8–30.4)

1.3 (1.2–1.4)

0.0 (0.0–0.0)

16.2 (11.0–22.5)

100.0 (92.1–100.0)

0.237

 ≥ 2

100.0 (87.7–100.0)

44.2 (37.0–51.6)

1.8 (1.6–2.0)

0.0 (0.0–0.0)

20.9 (14.4–28.8)

100.0 (95.7–100.0)

0.442

 ≥ 3

92.9 (76.5–99.1)

61.1 (53.7–68.0)

2.4 (1.9–2.9)

0.12 (0.0–0.4)

26.0 (17.7–35.7)

98.3 (94.0–99.8)

0.540

 ≥ 4

92.9 (76.5–99.1)

77.9 (71.3–83.6)

4.2 (3.2–5.6)

0.1 (0.0–0.3)

38.2 (26.7–50.8)

98.7 (95.3–99.8)

0.708

 ≥ 5a

82.1 (63.1–93.9)

92.6 (87.9–95.9)

11.2 (6.5–19.0)

0.2 (0.1–0.4)

62.2 (44.8–77.5)

97.2 (93.7–99.1)

0.748

 ≥ 6

42.9 (24.5–62.8)

99.0 (96.2–99.9)

40.7 (9.6–172.4)

0.6 (0.4–0.8)

85.7 (57.2–98.2)

92.2 (87.6–95.5)

0.419

 7

14.3 (4.0–32.7)

100.0 (98.1–100.0)

0.9 (0.7–1.0)

100.0 (39.8–100.0)

88.8 (83.8–92.7)

0.143

  1. qSOFA quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment, Se sensitivity, Sp specificity, +LR likelihood ratio for positive results, −LR likelihood ratio for negative results, +PV positive predictive value, −PV negative predictive value, CI confidence interval
  2. aThe optimal cutoff points for the scores were estimated with the Youden J statistics